Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於法比奧 74%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·熱蘇斯 <1%
艾馬努埃爾·卡喬 <1%
$10,749 交易量
$10,749 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奧
74%
Valmir de Francisquinho
18%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·熱蘇斯
1%
艾馬努埃爾·卡喬
1%
Helton 博士
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
法比奧 74%
Valmir de Francisquinho 18%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·熱蘇斯 <1%
艾馬努埃爾·卡喬 <1%
$10,749 交易量
$10,749 交易量
2026-10-04
法比奧
$8,247 交易量
74%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$941 交易量
18%
塔蒂·克里斯蒂娜·德·熱蘇斯
$330 交易量
1%
艾馬努埃爾·卡喬
$391 交易量
1%
Helton 博士
$455 交易量
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$385 交易量
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
交易量
$10,749結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$10,749結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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