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政治·巴西

阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家

icon for 阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家

弗爾蘭博士 93%

馬科斯·雷亞特吉 3.4%

Clécio Luís 3.0%

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔 2.6%

Polymarket
最新

弗爾蘭博士 93%

馬科斯·雷亞特吉 3.4%

Clécio Luís 3.0%

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔 2.6%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 弗爾蘭博士

弗爾蘭博士

$1,220 交易量

93%

icon for 馬科斯·雷亞特吉

馬科斯·雷亞特吉

$209 交易量

3%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$169 交易量

3%

icon for 賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔

賈伊羅·帕爾赫塔

$374 交易量

3%

icon for 卡洛斯·克雷

卡洛斯·克雷

$128 交易量

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,101
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$2,101
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗爾蘭博士" at 93%, followed by "馬科斯·雷亞特吉" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" is "弗爾蘭博士" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬科斯·雷亞特吉" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿馬帕省省長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.