Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Gustavo Gayer 53%
葛拉辛婭·卡亞多 20%
Gustavo Mendanha 14%
Iure Castro 4.7%
$18,760 交易量
$18,760 交易量
2026-10-04
Gustavo Gayer
53%
葛拉辛婭·卡亞多
20%
Gustavo Mendanha
14%
Iure Castro
5%
范德蘭·卡多索
5%
Cintia Dias
4%
埃內斯托·羅勒
2%
扎查里亞斯·卡利爾醫生
2%
Guilherme Darques
1%
奧賽亞斯·瓦朗
<1%
伊莎烏拉·萊莫斯
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 53%
葛拉辛婭·卡亞多 20%
Gustavo Mendanha 14%
Iure Castro 4.7%
$18,760 交易量
$18,760 交易量
2026-10-04
Gustavo Gayer
$16,055 交易量
53%
葛拉辛婭·卡亞多
$1,163 交易量
20%
Gustavo Mendanha
$228 交易量
14%
Iure Castro
$158 交易量
5%
范德蘭·卡多索
$176 交易量
5%
Cintia Dias
$219 交易量
4%
埃內斯托·羅勒
$158 交易量
2%
扎查里亞斯·卡利爾醫生
$158 交易量
2%
Guilherme Darques
$141 交易量
1%
奧賽亞斯·瓦朗
$155 交易量
<1%
伊莎烏拉·萊莫斯
$146 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
交易量
$18,760結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$18,760結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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