Incumbent Republican August Pfluger holds a commanding position in Texas's 11th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds secured her party's nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins historically. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around the party's strong probability. Late developments such as a significant national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or major shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,175 交易量
$32,175 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$32,175 交易量
$32,175 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$8,888 交易量
94%
民主黨
$23,287 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger holds a commanding position in Texas's 11th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds secured her party's nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins historically. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around the party's strong probability. Late developments such as a significant national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or major shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,175結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger holds a commanding position in Texas's 11th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds secured her party's nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins historically. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around the party's strong probability. Late developments such as a significant national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or major shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,175結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger holds a commanding position in Texas's 11th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds secured her party's nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins historically. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus around the party's strong probability. Late developments such as a significant national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or major shifts in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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