Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,160 交易量
$13,160 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,160 交易量
$13,160 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$10,566 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$2,594 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$13,160結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,160結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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