Oregon's 3rd congressional district, anchored in the Portland metro area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent winning 67.7% in 2024. Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 89% of the vote, facing minimal opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's urban and suburban composition, combined with Dexter's incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment exceeding historical norms for this safely Democratic seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,577 交易量
$13,577 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,577 交易量
$13,577 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$4,633 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$8,943 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district, anchored in the Portland metro area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent winning 67.7% in 2024. Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 89% of the vote, facing minimal opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's urban and suburban composition, combined with Dexter's incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment exceeding historical norms for this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$13,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district, anchored in the Portland metro area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent winning 67.7% in 2024. Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 89% of the vote, facing minimal opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's urban and suburban composition, combined with Dexter's incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment exceeding historical norms for this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district, anchored in the Portland metro area, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, with the incumbent winning 67.7% in 2024. Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 89% of the vote, facing minimal opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's urban and suburban composition, combined with Dexter's incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, significant health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment exceeding historical norms for this safely Democratic seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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