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icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新

邁·黃

$5,473 交易量

50%

多麗絲·松井

$4,510 交易量

42%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, the November 2026 general election pits incumbent Doris Matsui against Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang after both advanced from the June top-two primary in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested race, with Vang's narrow primary edge, progressive endorsements from labor groups, and appeal on affordability issues offset by Matsui's long tenure, fundraising lead, and institutional support. Recent August polling showed Vang slightly ahead amid high undecided shares, while the district's partisan lean and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California races sustain uncertainty. No major late developments have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for campaign events or turnout patterns to influence the outcome before election day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,983
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 7th congressional district, the November 2026 general election pits incumbent Doris Matsui against Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang after both advanced from the June top-two primary in this solidly Democratic seat. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested race, with Vang's narrow primary edge, progressive endorsements from labor groups, and appeal on affordability issues offset by Matsui's long tenure, fundraising lead, and institutional support. Recent August polling showed Vang slightly ahead amid high undecided shares, while the district's partisan lean and historical incumbent retention patterns in similar California races sustain uncertainty. No major late developments have shifted momentum in the past month, leaving room for campaign events or turnout patterns to influence the outcome before election day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,983
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "邁·黃" at 50%, followed by "多麗絲·松井" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is "邁·黃" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "多麗絲·松井" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.