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icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
選舉·美國大選

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
選舉·美國大選

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新

邁·黃

$5,423 交易量

51%

多麗絲·松井

$4,154 交易量

50%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mai Vang and incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for California's 7th congressional district. The heavily Democratic seat, altered by recent redistricting, features a generational contest between the 81-year-old longtime representative and the 41-year-old Sacramento city council member positioning herself as a progressive alternative focused on working families and new leadership. Post-primary polling shows the pair running closely, with substantial undecided voters, while Matsui maintains a fundraising edge and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a safe Democratic district where the outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs, late-cycle endorsements, and campaign momentum rather than partisan competition. Upcoming events such as candidate forums or additional fundraising disclosures could shift probabilities before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,577
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mai Vang and incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to face each other in the November general election for California's 7th congressional district. The heavily Democratic seat, altered by recent redistricting, features a generational contest between the 81-year-old longtime representative and the 41-year-old Sacramento city council member positioning herself as a progressive alternative focused on working families and new leadership. Post-primary polling shows the pair running closely, with substantial undecided voters, while Matsui maintains a fundraising edge and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a safe Democratic district where the outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs, late-cycle endorsements, and campaign momentum rather than partisan competition. Upcoming events such as candidate forums or additional fundraising disclosures could shift probabilities before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,577
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "邁·黃" at 51%, followed by "多麗絲·松井" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" is "邁·黃" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "多麗絲·松井" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.