Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於密歇根州 55%
阿拉斯加 19%
緬因州 16%
德州 9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
密歇根州
55%
阿拉斯加
19%
緬因州
16%
德州
31%
俄亥俄州
4%
愛荷華州
3%
密歇根州 55%
阿拉斯加 19%
緬因州 16%
德州 9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
密歇根州
$2,587 交易量
55%
阿拉斯加
$201 交易量
19%
緬因州
$195 交易量
16%
德州
$109 交易量
31%
俄亥俄州
$273 交易量
4%
愛荷華州
$109 交易量
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,475結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETMichigan stands out among 2026 Senate battlegrounds as an open Democratic seat in a state with an even partisan lean, where Gary Peters is retiring and Republican Mike Rogers faces Democrat Abdul El-Sayed following a competitive August primary. Recent polling averages show the matchup within a few points, aligning with toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters and reflecting the state's history of narrow presidential and Senate margins. In Alaska, Mary Peltola's primary performance and polling against Dan Sullivan sustain interest in that Republican-held contest. Maine's race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson remains close due to the state's recent Democratic tilt and ranked-choice voting. Shifts in Texas and Ohio ratings have also kept those seats in play, though Michigan's structural openness and battleground dynamics currently anchor trader focus on the top outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions