**Talarico leads Fort Bend County betting at 71.5% implied probability because the diverse suburban Houston county has trended Democratic in recent cycles, favoring the state representative's economic messaging and primary performance over Paxton's profile.** Paxton sits at 11.5% after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP runoff, a contest that highlighted party divisions. Statewide polls show a competitive general election rated toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, yet Fort Bend's demographics and voting patterns in prior races position the Democrat as the clearer county favorite. Minor candidates and independents register at 50% amid low expected shares, with the November 3 outcome still subject to turnout, late spending shifts, and any county-specific developments in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
72%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
$176 交易量
72%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
$75 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.**Talarico leads Fort Bend County betting at 71.5% implied probability because the diverse suburban Houston county has trended Democratic in recent cycles, favoring the state representative's economic messaging and primary performance over Paxton's profile.** Paxton sits at 11.5% after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP runoff, a contest that highlighted party divisions. Statewide polls show a competitive general election rated toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, yet Fort Bend's demographics and voting patterns in prior races position the Democrat as the clearer county favorite. Minor candidates and independents register at 50% amid low expected shares, with the November 3 outcome still subject to turnout, late spending shifts, and any county-specific developments in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.**Talarico leads Fort Bend County betting at 71.5% implied probability because the diverse suburban Houston county has trended Democratic in recent cycles, favoring the state representative's economic messaging and primary performance over Paxton's profile.** Paxton sits at 11.5% after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP runoff, a contest that highlighted party divisions. Statewide polls show a competitive general election rated toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, yet Fort Bend's demographics and voting patterns in prior races position the Democrat as the clearer county favorite. Minor candidates and independents register at 50% amid low expected shares, with the November 3 outcome still subject to turnout, late spending shifts, and any county-specific developments in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
交易量
$251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET**Talarico leads Fort Bend County betting at 71.5% implied probability because the diverse suburban Houston county has trended Democratic in recent cycles, favoring the state representative's economic messaging and primary performance over Paxton's profile.** Paxton sits at 11.5% after defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 2026 GOP runoff, a contest that highlighted party divisions. Statewide polls show a competitive general election rated toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, yet Fort Bend's demographics and voting patterns in prior races position the Democrat as the clearer county favorite. Minor candidates and independents register at 50% amid low expected shares, with the November 3 outcome still subject to turnout, late spending shifts, and any county-specific developments in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions