**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8-9 40%
4-5 35%
10+ 35%
6-7 31%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4
30%
4-5
35%
6-7
31%
8-9
40%
10+
35%
8-9 40%
4-5 35%
10+ 35%
6-7 31%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4
$0 交易量
30%
4-5
$0 交易量
35%
6-7
$0 交易量
31%
8-9
$0 交易量
40%
10+
$0 交易量
35%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions