Ukrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial and general aviation since the February 2022 full-scale invasion, with a standing NOTAM and international safety advisories prohibiting operations over the Kyiv flight information region. Boryspil International Airport maintains full infrastructure readiness and has preserved staff and certifications for potential rapid reactivation, yet resumption hinges on security conditions rather than fixed timelines. Recent Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes on the Kyiv region, including areas near Boryspil in late August and early September 2026, have reinforced ongoing risks to civilian flight operations. A government working group established in March 2026 is preparing phased reopening plans, but traders assess near-term aircraft movements as unlikely absent verifiable de-escalation or airspace clearance. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in conflict intensity within the resolution windows represent the main variables that could alter probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
$38,462 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
7%
10月31日
19%
12月31日
27%
$38,462 交易量
9月30日
$3,145 交易量
7%
10月31日
$18,589 交易量
19%
12月31日
$16,728 交易量
27%
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial and general aviation since the February 2022 full-scale invasion, with a standing NOTAM and international safety advisories prohibiting operations over the Kyiv flight information region. Boryspil International Airport maintains full infrastructure readiness and has preserved staff and certifications for potential rapid reactivation, yet resumption hinges on security conditions rather than fixed timelines. Recent Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes on the Kyiv region, including areas near Boryspil in late August and early September 2026, have reinforced ongoing risks to civilian flight operations. A government working group established in March 2026 is preparing phased reopening plans, but traders assess near-term aircraft movements as unlikely absent verifiable de-escalation or airspace clearance. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in conflict intensity within the resolution windows represent the main variables that could alter probabilities.
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 9:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,462結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 9:24 AM ETUkrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ukrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial and general aviation since the February 2022 full-scale invasion, with a standing NOTAM and international safety advisories prohibiting operations over the Kyiv flight information region. Boryspil International Airport maintains full infrastructure readiness and has preserved staff and certifications for potential rapid reactivation, yet resumption hinges on security conditions rather than fixed timelines. Recent Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes on the Kyiv region, including areas near Boryspil in late August and early September 2026, have reinforced ongoing risks to civilian flight operations. A government working group established in March 2026 is preparing phased reopening plans, but traders assess near-term aircraft movements as unlikely absent verifiable de-escalation or airspace clearance. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in conflict intensity within the resolution windows represent the main variables that could alter probabilities.
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing).
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$38,462結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 9:24 AM ETUkrainian civil airspace has remained closed to commercial and general aviation since the February 2022 full-scale invasion, with a standing NOTAM and international safety advisories prohibiting operations over the Kyiv flight information region. Boryspil International Airport maintains full infrastructure readiness and has preserved staff and certifications for potential rapid reactivation, yet resumption hinges on security conditions rather than fixed timelines. Recent Russian ballistic missile and drone strikes on the Kyiv region, including areas near Boryspil in late August and early September 2026, have reinforced ongoing risks to civilian flight operations. A government working group established in March 2026 is preparing phased reopening plans, but traders assess near-term aircraft movements as unlikely absent verifiable de-escalation or airspace clearance. Scheduled diplomatic contacts and any shifts in conflict intensity within the resolution windows represent the main variables that could alter probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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