United Russia benefits from extensive Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and leadership restructuring that ties governors more closely to the party. Historical patterns show the ruling party securing majorities in nearly all regional assemblies and gubernatorial contests, as seen in the 2025 regional votes where it captured overwhelming shares amid limited opposition participation. Recent adjustments lowered vote-share targets to around 45-50 percent in some areas amid softer public support, yet administrative resources and the exclusion of genuine challengers sustain expectations of continued dominance across regions. Traders price the outcome at 62 percent for United Russia winning every region, reflecting these institutional advantages while acknowledging modest uncertainty around turnout and localized performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
62% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
是
62% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia benefits from extensive Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and leadership restructuring that ties governors more closely to the party. Historical patterns show the ruling party securing majorities in nearly all regional assemblies and gubernatorial contests, as seen in the 2025 regional votes where it captured overwhelming shares amid limited opposition participation. Recent adjustments lowered vote-share targets to around 45-50 percent in some areas amid softer public support, yet administrative resources and the exclusion of genuine challengers sustain expectations of continued dominance across regions. Traders price the outcome at 62 percent for United Russia winning every region, reflecting these institutional advantages while acknowledging modest uncertainty around turnout and localized performance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
交易量
$2,396結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia benefits from extensive Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and leadership restructuring that ties governors more closely to the party. Historical patterns show the ruling party securing majorities in nearly all regional assemblies and gubernatorial contests, as seen in the 2025 regional votes where it captured overwhelming shares amid limited opposition participation. Recent adjustments lowered vote-share targets to around 45-50 percent in some areas amid softer public support, yet administrative resources and the exclusion of genuine challengers sustain expectations of continued dominance across regions. Traders price the outcome at 62 percent for United Russia winning every region, reflecting these institutional advantages while acknowledging modest uncertainty around turnout and localized performance.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$2,396結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia benefits from extensive Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative elections, including constituency redistricting, expanded remote electronic voting in nearly half the regions, and leadership restructuring that ties governors more closely to the party. Historical patterns show the ruling party securing majorities in nearly all regional assemblies and gubernatorial contests, as seen in the 2025 regional votes where it captured overwhelming shares amid limited opposition participation. Recent adjustments lowered vote-share targets to around 45-50 percent in some areas amid softer public support, yet administrative resources and the exclusion of genuine challengers sustain expectations of continued dominance across regions. Traders price the outcome at 62 percent for United Russia winning every region, reflecting these institutional advantages while acknowledging modest uncertainty around turnout and localized performance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions