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icon for 普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

icon for 普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?

12月 31

12月 31

87% 機率
Polymarket
最新

87% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent bilateral talks between Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1 underscore the deepening strategic partnership, including nuclear cooperation at Bushehr, military-technical exchanges, and economic support amid ongoing regional tensions. Russian officials have confirmed continued deliveries of essential goods and reaffirmed commitments under the comprehensive strategic partnership treaty. These developments, occurring just days before the current market pricing, signal sustained high-level engagement and multiple channels for future contact through year-end, consistent with the trader consensus reflected in the elevated "Yes" probability. Scheduled diplomatic calendars and alliance coordination needs provide additional structural support for additional meetings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$987
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent bilateral talks between Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Bishkek on September 1 underscore the deepening strategic partnership, including nuclear cooperation at Bushehr, military-technical exchanges, and economic support amid ongoing regional tensions. Russian officials have confirmed continued deliveries of essential goods and reaffirmed commitments under the comprehensive strategic partnership treaty. These developments, occurring just days before the current market pricing, signal sustained high-level engagement and multiple channels for future contact through year-end, consistent with the trader consensus reflected in the elevated "Yes" probability. Scheduled diplomatic calendars and alliance coordination needs provide additional structural support for additional meetings before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$987
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "普京是否會在12月31日之前會見伊朗官員?" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" is "普京是否會在12月31日之前會見伊朗官員?" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京在12月31日前與伊朗官員會面?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.