Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and threats to other chokepoints, remain the dominant driver of crude oil price volatility as of mid-August 2026. WTI crude trades near $84–85 per barrel after July spikes above $100, well below the 2008 all-time high of $147.27, amid mixed supply signals from Gulf production shortfalls and a sharp U.S. inventory build of 17.4 million barrels. Weakening global demand forecasts, with 2026 consumption projected to contract, contrast with potential supply recovery if diplomatic efforts ease restrictions. Key upcoming influences include ongoing EIA inventory reports, IEA monthly updates, and any progress on U.S.-Iran maritime agreements that could alter near-term price trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,560,987 交易量
2026-09-30
September 30
3%
December 31
13%
$2,560,987 交易量
September 30
$1,033,675 交易量
3%
December 31
$736,343 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and threats to other chokepoints, remain the dominant driver of crude oil price volatility as of mid-August 2026. WTI crude trades near $84–85 per barrel after July spikes above $100, well below the 2008 all-time high of $147.27, amid mixed supply signals from Gulf production shortfalls and a sharp U.S. inventory build of 17.4 million barrels. Weakening global demand forecasts, with 2026 consumption projected to contract, contrast with potential supply recovery if diplomatic efforts ease restrictions. Key upcoming influences include ongoing EIA inventory reports, IEA monthly updates, and any progress on U.S.-Iran maritime agreements that could alter near-term price trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$2,560,987結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and threats to other chokepoints, remain the dominant driver of crude oil price volatility as of mid-August 2026. WTI crude trades near $84–85 per barrel after July spikes above $100, well below the 2008 all-time high of $147.27, amid mixed supply signals from Gulf production shortfalls and a sharp U.S. inventory build of 17.4 million barrels. Weakening global demand forecasts, with 2026 consumption projected to contract, contrast with potential supply recovery if diplomatic efforts ease restrictions. Key upcoming influences include ongoing EIA inventory reports, IEA monthly updates, and any progress on U.S.-Iran maritime agreements that could alter near-term price trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$2,560,987結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and threats to other chokepoints, remain the dominant driver of crude oil price volatility as of mid-August 2026. WTI crude trades near $84–85 per barrel after July spikes above $100, well below the 2008 all-time high of $147.27, amid mixed supply signals from Gulf production shortfalls and a sharp U.S. inventory build of 17.4 million barrels. Weakening global demand forecasts, with 2026 consumption projected to contract, contrast with potential supply recovery if diplomatic efforts ease restrictions. Key upcoming influences include ongoing EIA inventory reports, IEA monthly updates, and any progress on U.S.-Iran maritime agreements that could alter near-term price trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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