Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
38%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
56%
↓ $4.00
54%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
34%
$0.00 交易量
↑ $4.50
$0 交易量
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 交易量
38%
↑ $4.30
$0 交易量
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 交易量
56%
↓ $4.00
$0 交易量
54%
↓ $3.90
$0 交易量
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 交易量
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETElevated crude oil prices near $83–87 per barrel, supported by ongoing instability in the Strait of Hormuz and reduced Russian refinery output, remain the dominant driver pushing the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to record late-August levels around $4.08–$4.14 per gallon. Tight inventories, with draws exceeding seasonal norms, and near-maximum refinery utilization have compounded supply constraints, while warmer weather has sustained power-sector demand without fully offsetting summer driving patterns. Futures curves reflect limited downside through September, with traders monitoring weekly EIA storage data, Labor Day consumption, and any shifts in geopolitical risk premiums that could alter the forward path for WTI and retail margins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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