US-mediated trilateral meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced limited progress on ceasefires or territorial lines before stalling amid the Iran conflict and persistent gaps over Donbas control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality. Russian officials have conditioned any resumption on maximalist demands tied to prior battlefield positions, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has advanced direct-meeting proposals and new frameworks delivered to US negotiators. European capitals are coordinating to ensure involvement alongside Washington. Recent comments from US Secretary of State Rubio point to intensified diplomatic activity in the weeks ahead to test prospects for renewed negotiations, though the Kremlin has signaled no immediate openings. Ongoing strikes and mobilization signals on both sides continue to shape trader assessments of near-term diplomatic momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$353,087 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
15%
12月31日
44%
$353,087 交易量
9月30日
$167,306 交易量
15%
12月31日
$167,069 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced limited progress on ceasefires or territorial lines before stalling amid the Iran conflict and persistent gaps over Donbas control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality. Russian officials have conditioned any resumption on maximalist demands tied to prior battlefield positions, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has advanced direct-meeting proposals and new frameworks delivered to US negotiators. European capitals are coordinating to ensure involvement alongside Washington. Recent comments from US Secretary of State Rubio point to intensified diplomatic activity in the weeks ahead to test prospects for renewed negotiations, though the Kremlin has signaled no immediate openings. Ongoing strikes and mobilization signals on both sides continue to shape trader assessments of near-term diplomatic momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$353,087結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced limited progress on ceasefires or territorial lines before stalling amid the Iran conflict and persistent gaps over Donbas control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality. Russian officials have conditioned any resumption on maximalist demands tied to prior battlefield positions, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has advanced direct-meeting proposals and new frameworks delivered to US negotiators. European capitals are coordinating to ensure involvement alongside Washington. Recent comments from US Secretary of State Rubio point to intensified diplomatic activity in the weeks ahead to test prospects for renewed negotiations, though the Kremlin has signaled no immediate openings. Ongoing strikes and mobilization signals on both sides continue to shape trader assessments of near-term diplomatic momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$353,087結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced limited progress on ceasefires or territorial lines before stalling amid the Iran conflict and persistent gaps over Donbas control, security guarantees, and Ukrainian neutrality. Russian officials have conditioned any resumption on maximalist demands tied to prior battlefield positions, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has advanced direct-meeting proposals and new frameworks delivered to US negotiators. European capitals are coordinating to ensure involvement alongside Washington. Recent comments from US Secretary of State Rubio point to intensified diplomatic activity in the weeks ahead to test prospects for renewed negotiations, though the Kremlin has signaled no immediate openings. Ongoing strikes and mobilization signals on both sides continue to shape trader assessments of near-term diplomatic momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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