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icon for 卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?

卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?

icon for 卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?

卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?

$292,513 交易量

2026-12-30
Polymarket

$292,513 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$73,071 交易量

13%

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov continues to receive strong backing from the Kremlin and United Russia, which unanimously nominated him in July 2026 for another term ahead of the September 20 Chechen head election. Persistent reports of his declining health, including repeated hospitalizations linked to kidney issues and other conditions, have fueled succession speculation and positioned close allies such as Magomed Daudov and Adam Delimkhanov alongside family members like sons Adam and Akhmat as potential interim or longer-term figures. However, Kadyrov has repeatedly demonstrated influence in Moscow by securing his preferred outcomes on appointments and policy, while legal age requirements limit immediate dynastic handover. These factors have kept trader-implied probabilities of his departure by late 2026 low, reflecting expectations of continuity through the election cycle absent a sudden escalation in health or federal intervention.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$292,513
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ramzan Kadyrov continues to receive strong backing from the Kremlin and United Russia, which unanimously nominated him in July 2026 for another term ahead of the September 20 Chechen head election. Persistent reports of his declining health, including repeated hospitalizations linked to kidney issues and other conditions, have fueled succession speculation and positioned close allies such as Magomed Daudov and Adam Delimkhanov alongside family members like sons Adam and Akhmat as potential interim or longer-term figures. However, Kadyrov has repeatedly demonstrated influence in Moscow by securing his preferred outcomes on appointments and policy, while legal age requirements limit immediate dynastic handover. These factors have kept trader-implied probabilities of his departure by late 2026 low, reflecting expectations of continuity through the election cycle absent a sudden escalation in health or federal intervention.

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$292,513
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 13%, followed by "3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?" has generated $292.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?" is "12月31日" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "卡德羅夫擔任車臣共和國元首的時候... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.