**The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, conducted under a mixed proportional and single-member system with a 5% threshold, forms the immediate backdrop for KPRF positioning.** Recent FOM and WCIOM surveys place the party at roughly 11–15% support, projecting 58–73 seats and reflecting modest erosion from its 2021 result of 57 seats amid competition from LDPR and New People for second place. Kremlin-aligned management of opposition space, regional interference including arrests of KPRF figures, and the party’s pro-war stance limiting broader protest appeal contribute to trader consensus favoring outcomes below 60 seats. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural constraints and historical patterns of controlled outcomes while noting that final seat totals also depend on single-mandate performance and any late shifts in turnout or administrative factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於少於50 48%
50–59 38%
60–69 8%
100+ 3.5%
少於50
48%
50–59
38%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
1%
90–99
2%
100+
4%
少於50 48%
50–59 38%
60–69 8%
100+ 3.5%
少於50
48%
50–59
38%
60–69
8%
70–79
3%
80–89
1%
90–99
2%
100+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 8:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
**The September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, conducted under a mixed proportional and single-member system with a 5% threshold, forms the immediate backdrop for KPRF positioning.** Recent FOM and WCIOM surveys place the party at roughly 11–15% support, projecting 58–73 seats and reflecting modest erosion from its 2021 result of 57 seats amid competition from LDPR and New People for second place. Kremlin-aligned management of opposition space, regional interference including arrests of KPRF figures, and the party’s pro-war stance limiting broader protest appeal contribute to trader consensus favoring outcomes below 60 seats. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these structural constraints and historical patterns of controlled outcomes while noting that final seat totals also depend on single-mandate performance and any late shifts in turnout or administrative factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions