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政治·羅馬尼亞

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
政治·羅馬尼亞

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

亞歷山德魯·納扎雷 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

拉杜·布爾內特 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,333,288 交易量

亞歷山德魯·納扎雷 47.5%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

拉杜·布爾內特 6.9%

Ilie Bolojan 4.0%

Polymarket

$3,333,288 交易量

icon for 亞歷山德魯·納扎雷

亞歷山德魯·納扎雷

$224,826 交易量

48%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$440,041 交易量

23%

icon for 拉杜·布爾內特

拉杜·布爾內特

$99,037 交易量

7%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$168,112 交易量

4%

icon for 齊格弗里德·穆雷尚

齊格弗里德·穆雷尚

$11,043 交易量

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$47,773 交易量

2%

icon for 歐仁·托馬克

歐仁·托馬克

$260,843 交易量

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$106,012 交易量

1%

icon for 特拉揚·貝塞斯庫

特拉揚·貝塞斯庫

$60,634 交易量

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$70,840 交易量

1%

icon for 丹·莫特雷亞努

丹·莫特雷亞努

$76,673 交易量

1%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$152,553 交易量

1%

icon for 奇普里安·丘库

奇普里安·丘库

$46,381 交易量

1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$72,955 交易量

1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$76,195 交易量

1%

icon for 胡諾爾·凱萊門

胡諾爾·凱萊門

$83,766 交易量

1%

icon for 卡林·喬治斯庫

卡林·喬治斯庫

$61,503 交易量

1%

icon for 阿德里安·韋什特亞

阿德里安·韋什特亞

$205,064 交易量

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$60,280 交易量

<1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$68,435 交易量

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$46,483 交易量

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$56,429 交易量

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$59,344 交易量

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$54,148 交易量

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$54,291 交易量

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$65,272 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特

亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特

$51,775 交易量

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$48,880 交易量

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$55,027 交易量

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$68,831 交易量

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$84,883 交易量

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$59,354 交易量

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$54,744 交易量

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$60,596 交易量

<1%

icon for 維克多·龐塔

維克多·龐塔

$58,401 交易量

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$61,865 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing government formation process after the May 2026 no-confidence vote against Ilie Bolojan's coalition has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner. Center-right parties including PNL, USR, and UDMR have coordinated around a minority administration led by Nazare to advance fiscal reforms and secure EU funding timelines. This consensus reflects parliamentary arithmetic favoring cross-party backing over a PSD-led cabinet. Sorin Grindeanu, nominated by the largest party PSD in June to avoid snap elections, trails due to narrower support amid coalition negotiations involving President Nicușor Dan. Traders price these outcomes based on procedural hurdles, party alignments, and the risk of prolonged deadlock before parliamentary approval.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,333,288
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing government formation process after the May 2026 no-confidence vote against Ilie Bolojan's coalition has positioned Finance Minister Alexandru Nazare as the frontrunner. Center-right parties including PNL, USR, and UDMR have coordinated around a minority administration led by Nazare to advance fiscal reforms and secure EU funding timelines. This consensus reflects parliamentary arithmetic favoring cross-party backing over a PSD-led cabinet. Sorin Grindeanu, nominated by the largest party PSD in June to avoid snap elections, trails due to narrower support amid coalition negotiations involving President Nicușor Dan. Traders price these outcomes based on procedural hurdles, party alignments, and the risk of prolonged deadlock before parliamentary approval.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,333,288
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞歷山德魯·納扎雷" at 48%, followed by "Sorin Grindeanu" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "亞歷山德魯·納扎雷" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sorin Grindeanu" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.