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選舉·法國

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
選舉·法國

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$296,397 交易量

2027-04-16
Polymarket

$296,397 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 交易量

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 交易量

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 交易量

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,452 交易量

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 交易量

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 交易量

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 交易量

63%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 交易量

60%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 交易量

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 交易量

56%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,870 交易量

43%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 交易量

42%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 交易量

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 交易量

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,956 交易量

30%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$7,062 交易量

28%

icon for 胡安·布蘭科

胡安·布蘭科

$6,602 交易量

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 交易量

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,011 交易量

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 交易量

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 交易量

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 交易量

10%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 交易量

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 交易量

8%

icon for 米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

$7,983 交易量

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 交易量

7%

icon for 馬提厄·皮加斯

馬提厄·皮加斯

$12,661 交易量

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 交易量

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 交易量

6%

icon for 曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

$1,075 交易量

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 交易量

5%

icon for 菲利普·德·維利耶

菲利普·德·維利耶

$3,609 交易量

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 交易量

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 交易量

4%

icon for 泰迪·里納

泰迪·里納

$364 交易量

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 交易量

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 交易量

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 交易量

3%

icon for 巴利·巴亞約科

巴利·巴亞約科

$6,512 交易量

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 交易量

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 交易量

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 交易量

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 交易量

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 交易量

2%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 交易量

32%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 announcement of her candidacy, enabled by a court ruling that shortened her prior election ban, has clarified National Rally’s likely nominee and reinforced the party’s leading position in polling for the first round on 18 April 2027. Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans’ nomination in April 2026 after party members rejected a primary, while centrist figures Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have both formally declared, alongside Jean-Luc Mélenchon on the left. Macron’s ineligibility and the unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential contenders reflect deep fragmentation across the political spectrum. Traders are therefore focused on legal risks to Le Pen, the durability of Republican unity, and whether additional declarations or alliances will narrow the field before signature thresholds and the official ballot are finalized.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$296,397
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 announcement of her candidacy, enabled by a court ruling that shortened her prior election ban, has clarified National Rally’s likely nominee and reinforced the party’s leading position in polling for the first round on 18 April 2027. Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans’ nomination in April 2026 after party members rejected a primary, while centrist figures Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have both formally declared, alongside Jean-Luc Mélenchon on the left. Macron’s ineligibility and the unusually crowded field of roughly 30 potential contenders reflect deep fragmentation across the political spectrum. Traders are therefore focused on legal risks to Le Pen, the durability of Republican unity, and whether additional declarations or alliances will narrow the field before signature thresholds and the official ballot are finalized.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$296,397
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 95%, followed by "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $296.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.