Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections use a mixed system of proportional party-list voting with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. United Russia, the ruling party, maintains organizational dominance and leads recent polls by wide margins, positioning it to secure the largest share of seats through both mechanisms. The four main systemic opposition parties—Communist Party (KPRF), LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—have registered lists and are projected in surveys to clear the threshold, aided by established regional structures and district nominations. Yabloko's federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August following a legal challenge, limiting its prospects primarily to individual constituencies. No other parties have mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles, reflecting the narrowed field of registered participants and procedural requirements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
公正俄羅斯-為真理黨(SRZP)
97%

Rodina
85%

俄羅斯退休人士社會公正黨
7%

俄羅斯生態黨「綠黨」
6%
$3,765 交易量

公正俄羅斯-為真理黨(SRZP)
97%

Rodina
85%

俄羅斯退休人士社會公正黨
7%

俄羅斯生態黨「綠黨」
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections use a mixed system of proportional party-list voting with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. United Russia, the ruling party, maintains organizational dominance and leads recent polls by wide margins, positioning it to secure the largest share of seats through both mechanisms. The four main systemic opposition parties—Communist Party (KPRF), LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—have registered lists and are projected in surveys to clear the threshold, aided by established regional structures and district nominations. Yabloko's federal list was disqualified by the Supreme Court in August following a legal challenge, limiting its prospects primarily to individual constituencies. No other parties have mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles, reflecting the narrowed field of registered participants and procedural requirements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions