**Aaron Ford holds an 86% implied probability as the Clark County winner in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with incumbent Joe Lombardo at 12.5%.** Clark County, home to the Las Vegas metro area and the bulk of Nevada’s population, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in statewide races due to its urban, diverse electorate. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary with strong support there (66% of the Clark County vote), positioning him as the clear favorite in a county where Democratic candidates typically prevail by double-digit margins. Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, maintains a base among some local voters but faces structural headwinds in the general election. Recent polling averages show a competitive statewide contest, with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall, yet traders appear to discount his chances specifically in Clark County based on longstanding partisan patterns and turnout dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries, though both campaigns continue emphasizing economic issues like housing costs and job growth that resonate locally. The November 3 election remains the key resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
亞倫·福特（民主黨）
86%
喬·隆巴多（共和黨）
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
亞倫·福特（民主黨）
$980 交易量
86%
喬·隆巴多（共和黨）
$433 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.**Aaron Ford holds an 86% implied probability as the Clark County winner in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with incumbent Joe Lombardo at 12.5%.**
Clark County, home to the Las Vegas metro area and the bulk of Nevada’s population, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in statewide races due to its urban, diverse electorate. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary with strong support there (66% of the Clark County vote), positioning him as the clear favorite in a county where Democratic candidates typically prevail by double-digit margins. Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, maintains a base among some local voters but faces structural headwinds in the general election.
Recent polling averages show a competitive statewide contest, with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall, yet traders appear to discount his chances specifically in Clark County based on longstanding partisan patterns and turnout dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries, though both campaigns continue emphasizing economic issues like housing costs and job growth that resonate locally. The November 3 election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
交易量
$1,413結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.**Aaron Ford holds an 86% implied probability as the Clark County winner in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with incumbent Joe Lombardo at 12.5%.**
Clark County, home to the Las Vegas metro area and the bulk of Nevada’s population, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in statewide races due to its urban, diverse electorate. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary with strong support there (66% of the Clark County vote), positioning him as the clear favorite in a county where Democratic candidates typically prevail by double-digit margins. Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, maintains a base among some local voters but faces structural headwinds in the general election.
Recent polling averages show a competitive statewide contest, with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall, yet traders appear to discount his chances specifically in Clark County based on longstanding partisan patterns and turnout dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries, though both campaigns continue emphasizing economic issues like housing costs and job growth that resonate locally. The November 3 election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Clark County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
交易量
$1,413結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET**Aaron Ford holds an 86% implied probability as the Clark County winner in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, with incumbent Joe Lombardo at 12.5%.** Clark County, home to the Las Vegas metro area and the bulk of Nevada’s population, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in statewide races due to its urban, diverse electorate. Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the June 9 primary with strong support there (66% of the Clark County vote), positioning him as the clear favorite in a county where Democratic candidates typically prevail by double-digit margins. Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, maintains a base among some local voters but faces structural headwinds in the general election. Recent polling averages show a competitive statewide contest, with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall, yet traders appear to discount his chances specifically in Clark County based on longstanding partisan patterns and turnout dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries, though both campaigns continue emphasizing economic issues like housing costs and job growth that resonate locally. The November 3 election remains the key resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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