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icon for 北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者
政治·北卡羅萊納州期中考試

北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者

icon for 北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者
政治·北卡羅萊納州期中考試

北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 安妮塔·厄爾斯（民主黨）

安妮塔·厄爾斯（民主黨）

$995 交易量

79%

icon for Sarah Stevens（共和黨）

Sarah Stevens（共和黨）

$88 交易量

21%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls leads trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, North Carolina Supreme Court Seat 1 race, reflecting her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million raised against Republican challenger Sarah Stevens’ roughly $336,000. Recent August polling shows Earls ahead by narrow 3- to 6-point margins among likely voters, with notable undecided shares. Stevens resigned her state House seat in June to campaign full time, yet the incumbent’s donor support and name recognition have sustained her frontrunner position in prediction market pricing. The contest occurs amid a 5-2 Republican court majority, with the outcome potentially shaping balance ahead of 2028 contests; no major late developments have shifted the narrow polling gap.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,084
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls leads trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, North Carolina Supreme Court Seat 1 race, reflecting her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million raised against Republican challenger Sarah Stevens’ roughly $336,000. Recent August polling shows Earls ahead by narrow 3- to 6-point margins among likely voters, with notable undecided shares. Stevens resigned her state House seat in June to campaign full time, yet the incumbent’s donor support and name recognition have sustained her frontrunner position in prediction market pricing. The contest occurs amid a 5-2 Republican court majority, with the outcome potentially shaping balance ahead of 2028 contests; no major late developments have shifted the narrow polling gap.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$1,084
結束日期
2026-11-04
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安妮塔·厄爾斯（民主黨）" at 79%, followed by "Sarah Stevens（共和黨）" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者" is "安妮塔·厄爾斯（民主黨）" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sarah Stevens（共和黨）" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "北卡羅萊納州最高法院選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.