The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for September 8, features U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holding a lead over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur in recent surveys, though that advantage has narrowed sharply in the final weeks. Establishment endorsements and a substantial fundraising edge have anchored Pappas as the frontrunner, while Manzur has drawn support from younger and left-leaning voters through grassroots efforts and criticism of moderate positions. Latest University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas at 47% to Manzur’s 34%, down from earlier double-digit spreads, injecting uncertainty into the precise victory margin. This dynamic aligns with trader emphasis on “Other” alongside mid-range Pappas margins, as the contest remains sensitive to turnout and late shifts among Democratic primary voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Pappas 30–35% 47%
帕帕斯 0–5% 22%
Pappas 10–15% 21%
Pappas 15–20% 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
帕帕斯40%以上
9%
Pappas 35–40%
19%
Pappas 30–35%
47%
Pappas 25–30%
10%
Pappas 20–25%
19%
Pappas 15–20%
21%
Pappas 10–15%
21%
Pappas 5–10%
13%
帕帕斯 0–5%
22%
Manzur 0–5%
2%
Manzur 5%以上
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 47%
帕帕斯 0–5% 22%
Pappas 10–15% 21%
Pappas 15–20% 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
帕帕斯40%以上
$1,261 交易量
9%
Pappas 35–40%
$78 交易量
19%
Pappas 30–35%
$34 交易量
47%
Pappas 25–30%
$163 交易量
10%
Pappas 20–25%
$285 交易量
19%
Pappas 15–20%
$253 交易量
21%
Pappas 10–15%
$300 交易量
21%
Pappas 5–10%
$159 交易量
13%
帕帕斯 0–5%
$285 交易量
22%
Manzur 0–5%
$195 交易量
2%
Manzur 5%以上
$165 交易量
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for September 8, features U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holding a lead over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur in recent surveys, though that advantage has narrowed sharply in the final weeks. Establishment endorsements and a substantial fundraising edge have anchored Pappas as the frontrunner, while Manzur has drawn support from younger and left-leaning voters through grassroots efforts and criticism of moderate positions. Latest University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas at 47% to Manzur’s 34%, down from earlier double-digit spreads, injecting uncertainty into the precise victory margin. This dynamic aligns with trader emphasis on “Other” alongside mid-range Pappas margins, as the contest remains sensitive to turnout and late shifts among Democratic primary voters.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
交易量
$3,179結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETThe New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for September 8, features U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holding a lead over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur in recent surveys, though that advantage has narrowed sharply in the final weeks. Establishment endorsements and a substantial fundraising edge have anchored Pappas as the frontrunner, while Manzur has drawn support from younger and left-leaning voters through grassroots efforts and criticism of moderate positions. Latest University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas at 47% to Manzur’s 34%, down from earlier double-digit spreads, injecting uncertainty into the precise victory margin. This dynamic aligns with trader emphasis on “Other” alongside mid-range Pappas margins, as the contest remains sensitive to turnout and late shifts among Democratic primary voters.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
交易量
$3,179結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETThe New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, scheduled for September 8, features U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holding a lead over progressive challenger Karishma Manzur in recent surveys, though that advantage has narrowed sharply in the final weeks. Establishment endorsements and a substantial fundraising edge have anchored Pappas as the frontrunner, while Manzur has drawn support from younger and left-leaning voters through grassroots efforts and criticism of moderate positions. Latest University of New Hampshire polling shows Pappas at 47% to Manzur’s 34%, down from earlier double-digit spreads, injecting uncertainty into the precise victory margin. This dynamic aligns with trader emphasis on “Other” alongside mid-range Pappas margins, as the contest remains sensitive to turnout and late shifts among Democratic primary voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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