Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania’s 15th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 19 points. Thompson advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after years representing the north-central Pennsylvania district, while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and Thompson’s established incumbency advantages. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,858 交易量
$24,858 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
7%
$24,858 交易量
$24,858 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$8,957 交易量
94%
民主黨
$15,902 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania’s 15th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 19 points. Thompson advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after years representing the north-central Pennsylvania district, while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and Thompson’s established incumbency advantages. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,858結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania’s 15th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 19 points. Thompson advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after years representing the north-central Pennsylvania district, while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and Thompson’s established incumbency advantages. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,858結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania’s 15th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 19 points. Thompson advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after years representing the north-central Pennsylvania district, while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and Thompson’s established incumbency advantages. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable without major intervening events before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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