Ty Masterson, the Kansas Senate president with a Trump endorsement, holds a commanding position as the Republican primary frontrunner just days before the August 4 vote, driving trader expectations for a decisive margin in a multi-candidate field that includes Philip Sarnecki and others such as Scott Schwab and Charlotte O’Hara. Recent attacks from Sarnecki on Masterson’s legislative record, including support for data center tax incentives, have highlighted policy divides but appear to have limited impact amid Masterson’s institutional backing and fundraising edge. The crowded ballot fragments opposition support, contributing to market pricing that favors larger victory margins for Masterson while assigning substantial weight to “other” outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact spreads or minor candidate performances. With voting underway in early ballots and no major late shifts reported, the consensus reflects the frontrunner’s structural advantages in a low-turnout primary environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬斯特森贏25%以上 37.6%
Masterson 少於 5% 19%
薩內基 <5% 13%
馬斯特森 10–15% 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
馬斯特森贏25%以上
38%
Masterson 20-25%
4%
馬斯特森15–20%
10%
馬斯特森 10–15%
12%
馬斯特森 5-10%
6%
Masterson 少於 5%
19%
薩內基 <5%
13%
薩內茨基 5–10%
1%
薩內基10%以上
1%
馬斯特森贏25%以上 37.6%
Masterson 少於 5% 19%
薩內基 <5% 13%
馬斯特森 10–15% 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
馬斯特森贏25%以上
$978 交易量
38%
Masterson 20-25%
$655 交易量
4%
馬斯特森15–20%
$608 交易量
10%
馬斯特森 10–15%
$921 交易量
12%
馬斯特森 5-10%
$554 交易量
6%
Masterson 少於 5%
$1,657 交易量
19%
薩內基 <5%
$1,735 交易量
13%
薩內茨基 5–10%
$590 交易量
1%
薩內基10%以上
$513 交易量
1%
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ty Masterson, the Kansas Senate president with a Trump endorsement, holds a commanding position as the Republican primary frontrunner just days before the August 4 vote, driving trader expectations for a decisive margin in a multi-candidate field that includes Philip Sarnecki and others such as Scott Schwab and Charlotte O’Hara. Recent attacks from Sarnecki on Masterson’s legislative record, including support for data center tax incentives, have highlighted policy divides but appear to have limited impact amid Masterson’s institutional backing and fundraising edge. The crowded ballot fragments opposition support, contributing to market pricing that favors larger victory margins for Masterson while assigning substantial weight to “other” outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact spreads or minor candidate performances. With voting underway in early ballots and no major late shifts reported, the consensus reflects the frontrunner’s structural advantages in a low-turnout primary environment.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ET
交易量
$8,211結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ty Masterson, the Kansas Senate president with a Trump endorsement, holds a commanding position as the Republican primary frontrunner just days before the August 4 vote, driving trader expectations for a decisive margin in a multi-candidate field that includes Philip Sarnecki and others such as Scott Schwab and Charlotte O’Hara. Recent attacks from Sarnecki on Masterson’s legislative record, including support for data center tax incentives, have highlighted policy divides but appear to have limited impact amid Masterson’s institutional backing and fundraising edge. The crowded ballot fragments opposition support, contributing to market pricing that favors larger victory margins for Masterson while assigning substantial weight to “other” outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact spreads or minor candidate performances. With voting underway in early ballots and no major late shifts reported, the consensus reflects the frontrunner’s structural advantages in a low-turnout primary environment.
The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$8,211結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ty Masterson, the Kansas Senate president with a Trump endorsement, holds a commanding position as the Republican primary frontrunner just days before the August 4 vote, driving trader expectations for a decisive margin in a multi-candidate field that includes Philip Sarnecki and others such as Scott Schwab and Charlotte O’Hara. Recent attacks from Sarnecki on Masterson’s legislative record, including support for data center tax incentives, have highlighted policy divides but appear to have limited impact amid Masterson’s institutional backing and fundraising edge. The crowded ballot fragments opposition support, contributing to market pricing that favors larger victory margins for Masterson while assigning substantial weight to “other” outcomes reflecting uncertainty over exact spreads or minor candidate performances. With voting underway in early ballots and no major late shifts reported, the consensus reflects the frontrunner’s structural advantages in a low-turnout primary environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions