Redistricting last summer transformed Texas's 9th Congressional District into a heavily Republican seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to seek the neighboring 18th district instead. This shift positioned Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff, as the clear favorite in the November general election against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's new partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn Texas seats. Primary results and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold, though turnout dynamics in the Houston-area district could still influence the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,541 交易量
$15,541 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$15,541 交易量
$15,541 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$11,573 交易量
87%
Democratic Party
$3,967 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last summer transformed Texas's 9th Congressional District into a heavily Republican seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to seek the neighboring 18th district instead. This shift positioned Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff, as the clear favorite in the November general election against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's new partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn Texas seats. Primary results and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold, though turnout dynamics in the Houston-area district could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$15,541結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last summer transformed Texas's 9th Congressional District into a heavily Republican seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to seek the neighboring 18th district instead. This shift positioned Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff, as the clear favorite in the November general election against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's new partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn Texas seats. Primary results and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold, though turnout dynamics in the Houston-area district could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,541結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last summer transformed Texas's 9th Congressional District into a heavily Republican seat, prompting longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to seek the neighboring 18th district instead. This shift positioned Republican nominee Alex Mealer, who prevailed in the May 2026 primary runoff, as the clear favorite in the November general election against Democratic nominee Leticia Gutierrez. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% Republican probability aligns with the district's new partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn Texas seats. Primary results and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions have reinforced expectations of a Republican hold, though turnout dynamics in the Houston-area district could still influence the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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