Forecast models from multiple sources project Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on August 25 near 25–27°C, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions with light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, as historical August lows average around 25°C with rare excursions below 22°C absent strong cold-air advection. The 27.5% odds on 15°C or below capture tail-risk scenarios from model divergence or unexpected frontal passages, while narrower bands around 22–24°C at 25% each reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima. Updated model runs and official observations on the 25th will provide the primary resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日鄭州最低氣溫？
8月25日鄭州最低氣溫？
25°C或以上 97%
15°C或以下 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C或以下
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C或以上
97%
25°C或以上 97%
15°C或以下 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
55%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
50%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C或以上
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on August 25 near 25–27°C, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions with light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, as historical August lows average around 25°C with rare excursions below 22°C absent strong cold-air advection. The 27.5% odds on 15°C or below capture tail-risk scenarios from model divergence or unexpected frontal passages, while narrower bands around 22–24°C at 25% each reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima. Updated model runs and official observations on the 25th will provide the primary resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on August 25 near 25–27°C, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions with light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, as historical August lows average around 25°C with rare excursions below 22°C absent strong cold-air advection. The 27.5% odds on 15°C or below capture tail-risk scenarios from model divergence or unexpected frontal passages, while narrower bands around 22–24°C at 25% each reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima. Updated model runs and official observations on the 25th will provide the primary resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources project Zhengzhou's minimum temperature on August 25 near 25–27°C, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions with light easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal cooling. This consensus underpins the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, as historical August lows average around 25°C with rare excursions below 22°C absent strong cold-air advection. The 27.5% odds on 15°C or below capture tail-risk scenarios from model divergence or unexpected frontal passages, while narrower bands around 22–24°C at 25% each reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minima. Updated model runs and official observations on the 25th will provide the primary resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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