Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日鄭州最低氣溫?
21°C 92%
22°C 92%
25°C或以上 53%
15°C或以下 47%
15°C或以下
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
<1%
20°C
47%
21°C
92%
22°C
92%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C或以上
53%
21°C 92%
22°C 92%
25°C或以上 53%
15°C或以下 47%
15°C或以下
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
<1%
20°C
47%
21°C
92%
22°C
92%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C或以上
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows on August 24 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–85%, and expected showers that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, tied to a low-pressure trough and monsoon influences, produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25°C while assigning low probability to sub-20°C readings. Historical August averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly warmer due to elevated dew points and minimal wind. Traders will watch the next China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS outputs for any shifts in precipitation timing or coverage before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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