Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日成都最低溫？
8月24日成都最低溫？
20°C或以下 54%
30°C或更高 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
20°C或以下
54%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
26%
24°C
30%
25°C
45%
26°C
25%
27°C
34%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C或更高
54%
20°C或以下 54%
30°C或更高 54%
27°C 34%
22°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
20°C或以下
$21 交易量
54%
21°C
$50 交易量
20%
22°C
$26 交易量
32%
23°C
$6 交易量
26%
24°C
$6 交易量
30%
25°C
$943 交易量
45%
26°C
$6 交易量
25%
27°C
$6 交易量
34%
28°C
$5 交易量
3%
29°C
$5 交易量
8%
30°C或更高
$145 交易量
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,219結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,219結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Chengdu on August 24, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with light westerly winds, high humidity around 70-90%, and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability, while 27°C reflects slightly warmer scenarios from reduced cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm air masses without incoming fronts, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 23-25°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus runs heavily, with updates expected from the next model cycles ahead of the overnight period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions