Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月26日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 42%
18°C 32%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
12°C或以下
9%
13°C
12%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
17%
17°C
42%
18°C
32%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
2%
17°C 42%
18°C 32%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
9%
13°C
$0 交易量
12%
14°C
$0 交易量
20%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
17%
17°C
$31 交易量
42%
18°C
$65 交易量
32%
19°C
$0 交易量
13%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$96結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office point to mild overnight conditions in London on August 26, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for 17°C and 18°C, centers on typical late-summer patterns where urban heat retention and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands around these values. Differentiating factors include subtle shifts in high-pressure influence or Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops by 1–2°C, alongside historical August lows averaging 14–16°C. Updated model runs and evening observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official recording stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions