Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月25日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 39%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
32%
17°C
39%
18°C
14%
19°C
9%
20°C
1%
21°C或以上
1%
17°C 39%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
12°C
$5 交易量
1%
13°C
$4 交易量
3%
14°C
$0 交易量
7%
15°C
$31 交易量
15%
16°C
$185 交易量
32%
17°C
$90 交易量
39%
18°C
$29 交易量
14%
19°C
$82 交易量
9%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C或以上
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$442結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$442結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London on August 25 indicate overnight minimums of 16–18°C, with trader consensus centering on 16–17°C (combined 66% implied probability). Mild easterly to northeasterly flow advects relatively warm air from the continent while extensive low- to mid-level cloud suppresses radiative cooling overnight; dew points near 11–13°C further limit temperature drops. Recent model runs show little change in this pattern through the 25th, consistent with late-summer climatology where London’s urban heat island and typical August minima hover around 14–16°C. Key upcoming updates include the next Met Office and ECMWF runs that could refine cloud timing and wind strength before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions