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icon for 8月25日香港最低溫度？

8月25日香港最低溫度？

icon for 8月25日香港最低溫度？

8月25日香港最低溫度？

8月 24

8月 25

8月 26

8月 24

8月 25

8月 26

28°C 40%

27°C 30%

26°C 16%

29°C 12%

Polymarket
最新

28°C 40%

27°C 30%

26°C 16%

29°C 12%

Polymarket
最新

23°C or below

$361 交易量

1%

24°C

$450 交易量

1%

25°C

$224 交易量

6%

26°C

$237 交易量

16%

27°C

$689 交易量

30%

28°C

$462 交易量

40%

29°C

$1,171 交易量

12%

30°C

$208 交易量

<1%

31°C

$497 交易量

<1%

32°C

$363 交易量

<1%

33°C or higher

$279 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,941
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and ongoing thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the lowest temperature on August 25 around 26-28°C according to model consensus. Southerly to southwesterly winds at 5-10 m/s and elevated dew points near 25°C further suppress drops below 25°C, consistent with recent observations showing overnight minima of 26-28°C amid scattered showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August but reflect active monsoon influences rather than typical clear-sky cooling. Updated forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate limited variability ahead of the 25th, supporting trader emphasis on the 27-28°C range while acknowledging potential for slight downward revision if heavier rain enhances cooling.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,941
結束日期
2026-08-25
市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月25日香港最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 40%, followed by "27°C" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月25日香港最低溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月25日香港最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月25日香港最低溫度？" is "28°C" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27°C" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月25日香港最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.