Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日武漢氣溫最高?
30°C 38%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
38%
31°C
22%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
38%
31°C
22%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions