Current numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基8月31日的最高溫度？
赫爾辛基8月31日的最高溫度？
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
53%
20°C
24%
21°C
2%
22°C或以上
<1%
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$294 交易量
<1%
13°C
$294 交易量
<1%
14°C
$78 交易量
<1%
15°C
$152 交易量
<1%
16°C
$108 交易量
1%
17°C
$621 交易量
4%
18°C
$1,374 交易量
19%
19°C
$1,402 交易量
53%
20°C
$1,124 交易量
24%
21°C
$1,194 交易量
2%
22°C或以上
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,775結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,775結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions