**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 30 reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations converging on this value.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds and localized afternoon thundery showers, models from agencies such as the Meteorological Service Singapore project a high near the long-term August average of 31.4°C, with limited clearing allowing the temperature to reach but not exceed 32°C at stations like Changi. Recent fortnightly outlooks noted potential for 33–34°C on some days, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture have moderated peaks on this date. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected prolonged clear skies pushing readings to 33°C or heavier early showers capping the high at 31°C or below, though current data and model agreement make these low-probability adjustments unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月30日的最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,147 交易量
$55,147 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,147 交易量
$55,147 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on August 30 reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations converging on this value.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly winds and localized afternoon thundery showers, models from agencies such as the Meteorological Service Singapore project a high near the long-term August average of 31.4°C, with limited clearing allowing the temperature to reach but not exceed 32°C at stations like Changi. Recent fortnightly outlooks noted potential for 33–34°C on some days, yet persistent cloud cover and moisture have moderated peaks on this date. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected prolonged clear skies pushing readings to 33°C or heavier early showers capping the high at 31°C or below, though current data and model agreement make these low-probability adjustments unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions