**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and suppressed solar heating on August 30, 2026, have kept Guangzhou’s daytime maximum well below its late-August climatological average of ~33°C.** Official and real-time forecasts from multiple sources show the highest temperature stabilizing near 26–28°C amid overcast skies and frequent showers or thunderstorms, consistent with current observations around 25–27°C and dew points near 24–26°C that limit further warming. This strong market-implied probability (99.7% for 27°C or below) reflects trader consensus on these verifiable meteorological conditions rather than a forecast guarantee. The primary driver is a moist, stable air mass with light northerly winds and near-100% cloud cover, which has reduced insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. Historical records confirm occasional cooler August 30 highs (e.g., 26.3°C in 1975), but today’s pattern aligns with active monsoon or frontal influences suppressing the usual subtropical heat buildup. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome would require rapid clearing of clouds and a sharp drop in precipitation during peak heating hours, allowing temperatures to approach or exceed 28–29°C—though current model consensus and ongoing rain make this unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日廣州最高溫度？
8月30日廣州最高溫度？
27°C或以下 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,187 交易量
$72,187 交易量
2026-08-30
27°C或以下
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
27°C或以下 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$72,187 交易量
$72,187 交易量
2026-08-30
27°C或以下
$27,485 交易量
100%
28°C
$10,128 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,749 交易量
<1%
30°C
$6,989 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,621 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,205 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,674 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,514 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,138 交易量
<1%
36°C
$579 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and suppressed solar heating on August 30, 2026, have kept Guangzhou’s daytime maximum well below its late-August climatological average of ~33°C.** Official and real-time forecasts from multiple sources show the highest temperature stabilizing near 26–28°C amid overcast skies and frequent showers or thunderstorms, consistent with current observations around 25–27°C and dew points near 24–26°C that limit further warming. This strong market-implied probability (99.7% for 27°C or below) reflects trader consensus on these verifiable meteorological conditions rather than a forecast guarantee.
The primary driver is a moist, stable air mass with light northerly winds and near-100% cloud cover, which has reduced insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. Historical records confirm occasional cooler August 30 highs (e.g., 26.3°C in 1975), but today’s pattern aligns with active monsoon or frontal influences suppressing the usual subtropical heat buildup.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome would require rapid clearing of clouds and a sharp drop in precipitation during peak heating hours, allowing temperatures to approach or exceed 28–29°C—though current model consensus and ongoing rain make this unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$72,187結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and suppressed solar heating on August 30, 2026, have kept Guangzhou’s daytime maximum well below its late-August climatological average of ~33°C.** Official and real-time forecasts from multiple sources show the highest temperature stabilizing near 26–28°C amid overcast skies and frequent showers or thunderstorms, consistent with current observations around 25–27°C and dew points near 24–26°C that limit further warming. This strong market-implied probability (99.7% for 27°C or below) reflects trader consensus on these verifiable meteorological conditions rather than a forecast guarantee.
The primary driver is a moist, stable air mass with light northerly winds and near-100% cloud cover, which has reduced insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. Historical records confirm occasional cooler August 30 highs (e.g., 26.3°C in 1975), but today’s pattern aligns with active monsoon or frontal influences suppressing the usual subtropical heat buildup.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome would require rapid clearing of clouds and a sharp drop in precipitation during peak heating hours, allowing temperatures to approach or exceed 28–29°C—though current model consensus and ongoing rain make this unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,187結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and suppressed solar heating on August 30, 2026, have kept Guangzhou’s daytime maximum well below its late-August climatological average of ~33°C.** Official and real-time forecasts from multiple sources show the highest temperature stabilizing near 26–28°C amid overcast skies and frequent showers or thunderstorms, consistent with current observations around 25–27°C and dew points near 24–26°C that limit further warming. This strong market-implied probability (99.7% for 27°C or below) reflects trader consensus on these verifiable meteorological conditions rather than a forecast guarantee. The primary driver is a moist, stable air mass with light northerly winds and near-100% cloud cover, which has reduced insolation and promoted evaporative cooling. Historical records confirm occasional cooler August 30 highs (e.g., 26.3°C in 1975), but today’s pattern aligns with active monsoon or frontal influences suppressing the usual subtropical heat buildup. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome would require rapid clearing of clouds and a sharp drop in precipitation during peak heating hours, allowing temperatures to approach or exceed 28–29°C—though current model consensus and ongoing rain make this unlikely before the day ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions