Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show Austin under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow on September 1, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after an exceptionally hot August. This pattern favors the market's leading 98–99 °F (43 %) and 100–101 °F (29 %) brackets, consistent with climatological late-summer warmth and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecasters note minor spread among guidance, with some solutions reaching 102 °F if mixing is stronger, while others hold near 97 °F. Updated model cycles and any late-afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月1日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 20%
102-103°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
89°F或以下
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或更高
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 29%
94-95°F 20%
102-103°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
89°F或以下
$0 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
14%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
15%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
20%
96-97°F
$52 交易量
12%
98-99°F
$2 交易量
43%
100-101°F
$346 交易量
29%
102-103°F
$8 交易量
19%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
16%
106-107°F
$0 交易量
<1%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show Austin under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow on September 1, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after an exceptionally hot August. This pattern favors the market's leading 98–99 °F (43 %) and 100–101 °F (29 %) brackets, consistent with climatological late-summer warmth and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecasters note minor spread among guidance, with some solutions reaching 102 °F if mixing is stronger, while others hold near 97 °F. Updated model cycles and any late-afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$408結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs show Austin under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow on September 1, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after an exceptionally hot August. This pattern favors the market's leading 98–99 °F (43 %) and 100–101 °F (29 %) brackets, consistent with climatological late-summer warmth and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecasters note minor spread among guidance, with some solutions reaching 102 °F if mixing is stronger, while others hold near 97 °F. Updated model cycles and any late-afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$408結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model runs show Austin under persistent high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow on September 1, supporting daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s after an exceptionally hot August. This pattern favors the market's leading 98–99 °F (43 %) and 100–101 °F (29 %) brackets, consistent with climatological late-summer warmth and limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecasters note minor spread among guidance, with some solutions reaching 102 °F if mixing is stronger, while others hold near 97 °F. Updated model cycles and any late-afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions