**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily maximum of 20 °C in Helsinki on 30 August 2026 (99.4 % implied probability), reflecting real-time forecast data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple numerical models.** Official observations through mid-afternoon showed temperatures reaching 19 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly flow, high humidity near 90 %, and scattered light rain or showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the climatological average high of 18.4 °C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes (23.8 °C). Ensemble guidance and station reports indicate little potential for additional heating before sunset, as increasing cloud cover and modest winds suppress diurnal rise. Only a rapid clearing of clouds combined with a sharp model error could push readings to 21 °C or higher; conversely, heavier rain or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the maximum at 19 °C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$29,519 交易量
$29,519 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$29,519 交易量
$29,519 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily maximum of 20 °C in Helsinki on 30 August 2026 (99.4 % implied probability), reflecting real-time forecast data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and multiple numerical models.** Official observations through mid-afternoon showed temperatures reaching 19 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with southwesterly flow, high humidity near 90 %, and scattered light rain or showers limiting further warming. This aligns with the climatological average high of 18.4 °C for the date while remaining well below historical extremes (23.8 °C). Ensemble guidance and station reports indicate little potential for additional heating before sunset, as increasing cloud cover and modest winds suppress diurnal rise. Only a rapid clearing of clouds combined with a sharp model error could push readings to 21 °C or higher; conversely, heavier rain or stronger onshore flow would more likely cap the maximum at 19 °C or below.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions