A strong cold front and associated polar air mass advancing from the south represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 1 minimum temperature. Recent model runs show the front arriving Tuesday with widespread rain, thunderstorms, and a sharp drop from prior heatwave conditions above 35 °C, producing forecast overnight lows clustered between 13–14 °C. The narrow gap between the 14 °C-or-below (47 %) and 16 °C (44.5 %) markets reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise timing of cold-air advection, degree of cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and local wind speeds that modulate boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates the coldest readings are most likely near dawn on the 1st or early 2nd, with historical September minima averaging near 12 °C providing climatological context for the current tight spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月1日聖保羅最低溫度？
14°C或以下 93%
24°C或以上 60%
16°C 45%
20°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
93%
15°C
26%
16°C
45%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
43%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
35%
24°C或以上
60%
14°C或以下 93%
24°C或以上 60%
16°C 45%
20°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
45%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
43%
21°C
$0 交易量
36%
22°C
$0 交易量
36%
23°C
$0 交易量
35%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front and associated polar air mass advancing from the south represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 1 minimum temperature. Recent model runs show the front arriving Tuesday with widespread rain, thunderstorms, and a sharp drop from prior heatwave conditions above 35 °C, producing forecast overnight lows clustered between 13–14 °C. The narrow gap between the 14 °C-or-below (47 %) and 16 °C (44.5 %) markets reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise timing of cold-air advection, degree of cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and local wind speeds that modulate boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates the coldest readings are most likely near dawn on the 1st or early 2nd, with historical September minima averaging near 12 °C providing climatological context for the current tight spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front and associated polar air mass advancing from the south represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 1 minimum temperature. Recent model runs show the front arriving Tuesday with widespread rain, thunderstorms, and a sharp drop from prior heatwave conditions above 35 °C, producing forecast overnight lows clustered between 13–14 °C. The narrow gap between the 14 °C-or-below (47 %) and 16 °C (44.5 %) markets reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise timing of cold-air advection, degree of cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and local wind speeds that modulate boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates the coldest readings are most likely near dawn on the 1st or early 2nd, with historical September minima averaging near 12 °C providing climatological context for the current tight spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 9:29 AM ETA strong cold front and associated polar air mass advancing from the south represent the dominant driver of trader positioning for São Paulo’s September 1 minimum temperature. Recent model runs show the front arriving Tuesday with widespread rain, thunderstorms, and a sharp drop from prior heatwave conditions above 35 °C, producing forecast overnight lows clustered between 13–14 °C. The narrow gap between the 14 °C-or-below (47 %) and 16 °C (44.5 %) markets reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise timing of cold-air advection, degree of cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and local wind speeds that modulate boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from INMET and global ensembles indicates the coldest readings are most likely near dawn on the 1st or early 2nd, with historical September minima averaging near 12 °C providing climatological context for the current tight spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions