**Forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C in São Paulo on 30 August under a warm, dry air mass and mostly clear skies.** Subtropical high pressure favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet moderate humidity (dew points ~17–19 °C) and light variable winds limit further temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of surface heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the nocturnal minimum, with most runs clustering between 17 °C and 20 °C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from primary INMET stations; the tight market split between 18 °C and 19 °C therefore mirrors genuine uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日聖保羅最低溫度?
19°C 81%
18°C 44%
17°C或以下 5%
20°C <1%
$1,808 交易量
$1,808 交易量
17°C或以下
5%
18°C
44%
19°C
81%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
19°C 81%
18°C 44%
17°C或以下 5%
20°C <1%
$1,808 交易量
$1,808 交易量
17°C或以下
5%
18°C
44%
19°C
81%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models converge on an overnight minimum near 18–19 °C in São Paulo on 30 August under a warm, dry air mass and mostly clear skies.** Subtropical high pressure favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet moderate humidity (dew points ~17–19 °C) and light variable winds limit further temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of surface heat loss. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in the nocturnal minimum, with most runs clustering between 17 °C and 20 °C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly reading from primary INMET stations; the tight market split between 18 °C and 19 °C therefore mirrors genuine uncertainty in how much additional cooling occurs before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions