Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月30日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 96%
22°C 3%
23°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 96%
22°C 3%
23°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
2026-08-30
16°C或以下
$1,177 交易量
<1%
17°C
$119 交易量
<1%
18°C
$952 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,352 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,965 交易量
<1%
21°C
$9,817 交易量
96%
22°C
$7,788 交易量
3%
23°C
$5,104 交易量
<1%
24°C
$760 交易量
<1%
25°C
$115 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,544結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,544結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions