Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating over Amsterdam on August 31, keeping official forecasts centered on a maximum of 18–19 °C according to multiple runs from GFS and ECMWF guidance. These conditions contrast with late-August climatology, where Schiphol Airport averages near 21 °C, and reduce the likelihood of brief radiative warming that could push readings to 20 °C or higher. Model consensus on the exact peak remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope because of steady precipitation and limited insolation, directly supporting the market’s near-even split between the 19 °C and 20 °C contracts while assigning minimal probability to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance through the evening of August 30 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月31日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
20°C 53%
19°C 42%
18°C 5%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
42%
20°C
53%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
20°C 53%
19°C 42%
18°C 5%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
15°C
$67 交易量
<1%
16°C
$311 交易量
<1%
17°C
$356 交易量
1%
18°C
$598 交易量
5%
19°C
$1,055 交易量
42%
20°C
$900 交易量
53%
21°C
$548 交易量
5%
22°C
$414 交易量
2%
23°C
$204 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$264 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating over Amsterdam on August 31, keeping official forecasts centered on a maximum of 18–19 °C according to multiple runs from GFS and ECMWF guidance. These conditions contrast with late-August climatology, where Schiphol Airport averages near 21 °C, and reduce the likelihood of brief radiative warming that could push readings to 20 °C or higher. Model consensus on the exact peak remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope because of steady precipitation and limited insolation, directly supporting the market’s near-even split between the 19 °C and 20 °C contracts while assigning minimal probability to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance through the evening of August 30 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,732結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating over Amsterdam on August 31, keeping official forecasts centered on a maximum of 18–19 °C according to multiple runs from GFS and ECMWF guidance. These conditions contrast with late-August climatology, where Schiphol Airport averages near 21 °C, and reduce the likelihood of brief radiative warming that could push readings to 20 °C or higher. Model consensus on the exact peak remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope because of steady precipitation and limited insolation, directly supporting the market’s near-even split between the 19 °C and 20 °C contracts while assigning minimal probability to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance through the evening of August 30 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,732結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with an approaching Atlantic low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating over Amsterdam on August 31, keeping official forecasts centered on a maximum of 18–19 °C according to multiple runs from GFS and ECMWF guidance. These conditions contrast with late-August climatology, where Schiphol Airport averages near 21 °C, and reduce the likelihood of brief radiative warming that could push readings to 20 °C or higher. Model consensus on the exact peak remains tight within a 1–2 °C envelope because of steady precipitation and limited insolation, directly supporting the market’s near-even split between the 19 °C and 20 °C contracts while assigning minimal probability to warmer or cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance through the evening of August 30 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions