Consistent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models project a maximum temperature of 31°C in Milan on August 30, 2026, under sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus across sources, including high-resolution runs showing afternoon peaks near 31°C without significant advection of warmer air or convective development, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports typical highs in this range absent anomalous heat waves. Deviations could arise from rapid changes in steering patterns or unmodeled local effects altering the peak by 1–2°C, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日米蘭的最高溫度?
31°C 99.0%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$40,824 交易量
$40,824 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
31°C 99.0%
33°C or higher <1%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$40,824 交易量
$40,824 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consistent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models project a maximum temperature of 31°C in Milan on August 30, 2026, under sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus across sources, including high-resolution runs showing afternoon peaks near 31°C without significant advection of warmer air or convective development, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability. Historical late-August climatology for the region supports typical highs in this range absent anomalous heat waves. Deviations could arise from rapid changes in steering patterns or unmodeled local effects altering the peak by 1–2°C, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions