Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and minimal cloud cover, maximizing solar insolation during peak heating hours. Light westerly to southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 14–16°C support efficient daytime warming without significant moisture or convective disruption. Recent observations on August 30, with afternoon readings reaching 31–32°C, align with this pattern and historical late-August baselines, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Official updates from agencies like the Italian meteorological service or ECMWF runs expected overnight will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日米蘭的最高溫度?
31°C 52%
30°C 27%
32°C 13%
29°C 5%
$11,953 交易量
$11,953 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
52%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 27%
32°C 13%
29°C 5%
$11,953 交易量
$11,953 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
52%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate a peak temperature near 31–32°C in Milan on August 31 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and minimal cloud cover, maximizing solar insolation during peak heating hours. Light westerly to southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 14–16°C support efficient daytime warming without significant moisture or convective disruption. Recent observations on August 30, with afternoon readings reaching 31–32°C, align with this pattern and historical late-August baselines, though ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Official updates from agencies like the Italian meteorological service or ECMWF runs expected overnight will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions