Current forecast consensus from European and global models places Milan's maximum temperature on September 1 near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with limited afternoon convection possible. This tight clustering of outcomes reflects modest model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and the precise hour of peak insolation amid a transitioning late-summer pattern over the Po Valley. Historical early-September climatology centers around 27–28 °C, so the current elevated guidance supports the near-even market split between the two leading resolutions while keeping higher values below 10 % probability. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日米蘭的最高溫度?
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 11%
31°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
39%
30°C
38%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 38%
28°C 11%
31°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
39%
30°C
38%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from European and global models places Milan's maximum temperature on September 1 near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with limited afternoon convection possible. This tight clustering of outcomes reflects modest model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and the precise hour of peak insolation amid a transitioning late-summer pattern over the Po Valley. Historical early-September climatology centers around 27–28 °C, so the current elevated guidance supports the near-even market split between the two leading resolutions while keeping higher values below 10 % probability. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the next 48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions