Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature for Milan on August 31 in the 21–23°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm advection from the southwest, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that permit modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and low humidity (40–60%) support this baseline, consistent with late-August climatology but slightly above historical averages due to the ongoing warm pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C; cooler outcomes below 20°C would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly flow, while warmer readings depend on sustained mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and station observations from ARPA Lombardia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月31日米蘭的最低溫度？
23°C 49%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
33%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
24%
22°C
21%
23°C
49%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
$43 交易量
33%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$2 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
30%
20°C
$0 交易量
29%
21°C
$0 交易量
24%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$5 交易量
49%
24°C
$5 交易量
2%
25°C
$5 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature for Milan on August 31 in the 21–23°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm advection from the southwest, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that permit modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and low humidity (40–60%) support this baseline, consistent with late-August climatology but slightly above historical averages due to the ongoing warm pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C; cooler outcomes below 20°C would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly flow, while warmer readings depend on sustained mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and station observations from ARPA Lombardia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$66結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature for Milan on August 31 in the 21–23°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm advection from the southwest, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that permit modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and low humidity (40–60%) support this baseline, consistent with late-August climatology but slightly above historical averages due to the ongoing warm pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C; cooler outcomes below 20°C would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly flow, while warmer readings depend on sustained mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and station observations from ARPA Lombardia.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$66結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature for Milan on August 31 in the 21–23°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm advection from the southwest, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that permit modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dew points near 16–18°C and low humidity (40–60%) support this baseline, consistent with late-August climatology but slightly above historical averages due to the ongoing warm pattern. Model spreads arise mainly from minor differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C; cooler outcomes below 20°C would require stronger radiational cooling or an unexpected northerly flow, while warmer readings depend on sustained mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and station observations from ARPA Lombardia.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions