**A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has driven unusually high temperatures across São Paulo on August 30, 2026, positioning 29–30°C as the market leaders.** Official forecasts from agencies and models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low humidity near 30% and light winds limiting cooling. This reflects a late-winter heatwave that has elevated readings well above the August climatological maximum of roughly 24–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 83.5% combined probability for 29–30°C, aligns with the most probable observed peak at official stations once diurnal heating peaks and any localized effects are accounted for. Newer model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月30日聖保羅的最高溫度？
29°C 46%
30°C 39%
31°C 11%
33°C 7%
$29,976 交易量
$29,976 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
46%
30°C
39%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 39%
31°C 11%
33°C 7%
$29,976 交易量
$29,976 交易量
2026-08-30
28°C或以下
$6,242 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,959 交易量
46%
30°C
$3,242 交易量
39%
31°C
$1,594 交易量
11%
32°C
$3,941 交易量
3%
33°C
$2,404 交易量
7%
34°C
$2,273 交易量
<1%
35°C
$4,271 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,411 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,469 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$1,172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has driven unusually high temperatures across São Paulo on August 30, 2026, positioning 29–30°C as the market leaders.** Official forecasts from agencies and models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low humidity near 30% and light winds limiting cooling. This reflects a late-winter heatwave that has elevated readings well above the August climatological maximum of roughly 24–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 83.5% combined probability for 29–30°C, aligns with the most probable observed peak at official stations once diurnal heating peaks and any localized effects are accounted for. Newer model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
交易量
$29,976結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has driven unusually high temperatures across São Paulo on August 30, 2026, positioning 29–30°C as the market leaders.** Official forecasts from agencies and models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low humidity near 30% and light winds limiting cooling. This reflects a late-winter heatwave that has elevated readings well above the August climatological maximum of roughly 24–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 83.5% combined probability for 29–30°C, aligns with the most probable observed peak at official stations once diurnal heating peaks and any localized effects are accounted for. Newer model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,976結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET**A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil has driven unusually high temperatures across São Paulo on August 30, 2026, positioning 29–30°C as the market leaders.** Official forecasts from agencies and models consistently project afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly sunny conditions, with low humidity near 30% and light winds limiting cooling. This reflects a late-winter heatwave that has elevated readings well above the August climatological maximum of roughly 24–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 83.5% combined probability for 29–30°C, aligns with the most probable observed peak at official stations once diurnal heating peaks and any localized effects are accounted for. Newer model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions