Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日芝加哥的最高溫度？
8月30日芝加哥的最高溫度？
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 8%
$25,356 交易量
$25,356 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏77度或以下
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 8%
$25,356 交易量
$25,356 交易量
2026-08-30
華氏77度或以下
$3,343 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,366 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$2,394 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$3,664 交易量
40%
84-85°F
$3,705 交易量
37%
86-87°F
$5,288 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$3,015 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$1,768 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$132 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$328 交易量
<1%
96°F或更高
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,356結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,356結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions