Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C in Helsinki on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited insolation. Model consensus shows light precipitation risk that will not suppress the peak, consistent with early-September climatology where highs average 16–18 °C. The narrow market split between 19 °C and 20 °C reflects small differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current pressure patterns make extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C unlikely before resolution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
19°C 37%
20°C 34%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
37%
20°C
34%
21°C
14%
22°C
4%
23°C或以上
1%
19°C 37%
20°C 34%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
11%
19°C
37%
20°C
34%
21°C
14%
22°C
4%
23°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a daily maximum near 19–20 °C in Helsinki on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited insolation. Model consensus shows light precipitation risk that will not suppress the peak, consistent with early-September climatology where highs average 16–18 °C. The narrow market split between 19 °C and 20 °C reflects small differences in simulated cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current pressure patterns make extremes below 17 °C or above 22 °C unlikely before resolution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further narrow the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions